Rasmussen Poll Opinion I
Greg Pollowitz @ NRO
FreePa
The Big Fat Slob is counting eggs.
- I think something is wrong here. The same poll has Santorum's favorability at 42%. It seems odd that Santorum's favorability rating is higher than those willing to vote for him.
Rasmussen has some other odd results of late. On May 18, he released poll data from Ohio that had Strickland up 16 against Ken Blackwell and had Brown leading DeWine.
Yet, during roughly the same time, The Univ. of Cincinnati poll had entirely different results. They have Strickland up by only 6 and DeWine up by 10.
FreePa
- This is terrible news for Santorum, as it shows that he is still failing to bring his base back to where he needs them. In fact, the recent primary victories may have emboldened conservatives, sending a message that they don't have to accept politics-as-usual, which is what many view a vote for Santorum as.
The Big Fat Slob is counting eggs.
- it gets worse for the Senator and better for the perennial Pennsylvania candidate, Bobby Casey Junior -- Senator Santorum's favorable rating is down to 42% and nearly half of his constituents view him unfavorably -- 47%. Nearly 6/10 Pennsylvanians have a favorable view of the challenger -- 59%.
Hard to see how things can get much better for Santorum -- according to Rasmussen, Pennsylvania voters -- by a wide margin -- prefer the Democrats over the Republicans on issues like the economy, energy policy, and Iraq.
Casey now has the race to lose and Santorum, well his anti-immigration policy makes more sense. Since he'll be looking for work soon, he needs to keep the competition out.



Comments on "Rasmussen Poll Opinion I"
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A Big Fat Slob said ... (5/31/2006 04:34:42 PM) :
post a commentI am not sure what is so surprising about favorability numbers not matching up with support. The May 11 Quinnipiac had the same results -- 36% said that they would vote for Rick while 41% said that they had favorable views of the Senator.
Voters can say that they have favorable views of a candidate without also voting for that candidate -- otherwise the favorable numbers would be mirror images and worthless.
More importantly, undecideds (11%) need to be taken account.
I thought that the jump in the Senator's unfavorable rating was validated by the similar jump in the SurveyUSA numbers on the Denator, which came out last week.
Also, it seems to me that a majority of the supporters of the real democrats who opposed Casey in the primary are supporting him post-primary. I think those are the people who Casey has picked up, although Alex points out his 5% increase matched Santorum's decline.
Can't wait for the next set of numbers to come out -- but I would be shocked if they were any better for the Senator.
I am not exactly counting eggs, but I am enjoying the sweet aroma of roasting fowl.