Rasmussen: Casey 56% - Santorum 33%
A new Rasmussen Poll is finally out, and it shows Casey opening up his lead to 23 points (was 51% to 38%) since the last Rasmussen a month ago.
This is the first poll released since May 16th's primary election.
It's a hell of a jump. Let's see who calls it a trend, and who calls it an outlier.
This is the first poll released since May 16th's primary election.
- Last month, Santorum trailed by thirteen percentage points. The incumbent began 2006 down by 20 points and closed to within single digits by March. That was before the Primary Election solidified Casey's position as the Democratic nominee.
Santorum continues to flounder with his base, attracting support from only 67% of GOP voters. Casey now attracts 87% of Democrats, a ten-point gain since our April 20 poll.
The Senate race has been enlivened of late by controversy over Santorum's official residence, with the incumbent accusing the Casey campaign of spying.
Senator Santorum is viewed favorably by 42% of likely voters, unfavorably by 47%. About a quarter, 26%, view Santorum Very Unfavorably.
It's a hell of a jump. Let's see who calls it a trend, and who calls it an outlier.
Comments on "Rasmussen: Casey 56% - Santorum 33%"
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A Big Fat Slob said ... (5/31/2006 02:56:58 PM) :
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Anonymous said ... (5/31/2006 03:25:49 PM) :
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AlexC said ... (5/31/2006 04:15:53 PM) :
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highboy said ... (6/01/2006 02:30:50 AM) :
post a commentGee, didn't think I'd be going out a a limb to call it a trend. Basically, Casey has picked up support from about 2/3rds of the supporters of his primary opponents.
After the primary, the 70% or so who only vote in winter months start tilting a head towards the TV, just a bit, when "that politics stuff" leaks out. This is where the "trend" for Santorum is -- those just starting to pay attention are writing off the Senator. Absent some major national-security kind of event, I think it will be near impossible for the Senator to get that train back on the track.
The Rasmussen results, a little dramatic, but in line with the (even more dramatic) right/wrong track numbers which SurveyUSA came out with a week or so ago -- 57% disapproved of the Senator according to that one.
I think this may be a short campaign season.
So, think Rick will move into the Penn Hills home in January? (me neither)
Just when he was getting up off the mat after the media bashed him in the head for the residency issue, these numbers knock him down again. Senator, I knew Rocky. I served with Rocky. You are no Rocky.
I don't think Casey's picking up the primary voters. The undecided/others held at 11% vs the last Rasmussen, while Casey picked up 5% or Santorum's loss of 5%.
I think it's a primary election bounce.
But it could also have some of the house stuff included. The poll is shown at May 22nd, which means it was probably taken a few days up to the 22nd.
The house thing started up on the 16th at the polls, but didn't get rolling until the ad was released on the 22nd.
You guys call it whatever you want, I call it deep trouble for Santorum. Maybe if he'd act like a conservative like he did in his previous elections...