Friday, March 31, 2006

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Zogby/WSJ Polling

A new Zogby International poll is out. It's hard not to say this is good news for the Senator.

It breaks 47.4 to 39.4 a spread of 8 in favor of Casey. But it looks to be narrowing.
Zogby's last poll on Jan 27th, non-push poll, was 50.5% to 37.8%.



Disclaimer:
I've changed the way I display the poll results. I've removed the margin of error lines to unclutter the display. Generally, the MofE was between 2.5% and 4.5%, depending on the poll.

I've added a purple line for Undecided / Other. I simply subtract the total of Santorum and Casey from 100%.

The spikes in September and January are Zogby International polls. The January poll is the poll taken at the behest of OpEdNews.com and reflect the answers when the person being polled is informed that Bob Casey is pro-life. It looks like there was a baseline Santorum vs Casey poll, they then told the pollee Casey is pro-life, then they were asked again. The baseline numbers were in line with the rest, 39% to 51%.

A Quinnipiac Poll also bears that out.

The spike in March is the Mansfield University poll.

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